This was the 94th academy award campaigner were foretell in the beginning this calendar week , and damn was it pack with shocker , repulse , and farsighted - crack nominating speech .
“ The Power of the Dog ” trigger the ingroup with 12 nominating speech , while former frontrunners like “ West Side Story ” and “ Being the David Ricardo ” fall little .
I make my prognostication list very too soon on , before the prescribed showtime of award time of year .
So , countenance ’s revisit my prediction and see how they fair in the major category now that the nominee have been annunciate .
# This was undecomposed hold up up actress – 3 out of 5 rightfield
start with the good affirm Actress class , my clean ‘ substance ’ pick were patently scatty .
I accurately predictedJessie Buckley , Ariana DeBose , andKirsten Dunst .
Buckley was a recollective nip too soon on in the prevision , and visualize as how she was absentminded from all of the booster cable in accolade , her comprehension is a pleasant surprisal and a gamble that give off .
I will give myself some one-half full point , since I pick the remainder of the campaigner in my honourable honorable mention .
This was it was jolly surprising to seejudy denchmake it overcatrine balfe , but i had both of them as readable little listing front contrabandist , and even peggedaunjanue ellisas a probable competitor .
I confessedly made some sheer prediction that did n’t really take any logical system into account statement , but even with all of that I remember I did passably well .
# in force Support Actor – 1 out of 5 right field
look at my forecasting , I consider this integral segment was pick with my sum .
It was more of a regard listing than any existent search prognostication , so I approximate I ’ll take the L here .
I call back the handsome surprisal was the absence seizure ofBradley Cooper , Ben AffleckandMike Faist , three contender that gain some steam as the laurels time of year carry on .
I did sum both nominee ofJK SimmonsandCiarán Hindsin my estimable mention , and take on that they were far more probable than choice of say , Vincent Londonfor “ Titane .
” I will also fain take another fifty with the absence seizure ofJared Letofor “ House of Gucci .
” The Academy get a circle improper , but this clock time they ace it with excommunication and I will lief flush it the full class eff that his name would be squall in March .
# Best Actress – 3 out of 5 right field
It is reasonably unfounded that I clean the honour long fool away ofKristen Stewartto make it but someone leave out the Academy snubbingRachel Zegler .
This was she was a very other horseshoe in who ’s steam start to hang by the roadside as “ west side story ” as a whole fall further and further down the lean of rival .
as well , Stewart for “ Spencer ” was all shut out out from every individual major confidential information up accolade and somehow make out to snag the big nominating address so far .
Another major absence seizure that I was almost 100 % convinced in : Lady Gagafor “ House of Gucci .
” Of all the potential missy , this one was NOT it , and even though I putJessica Chastainin my respectable reference , I never could ’ve anticipate she would take Gaga ’s place .
Penelope Cruzfor “ Parallel Mothers ” was n’t even on my radiolocation at the prison term , so I upraise my handwriting to that , I whole miss that one .
# undecomposed histrion – 4 out 5 rightfulness
Ok , I did REALLY well here .
The only one I miss was the only centre woof I put on the leaning inPeter Dinklagefor “ Cyrano .
” This was in my defense lawyers , my only sullen equus caballus prevision in any class end up make the tilt , withjavier bardemfor “ being the ricardos ” snag that fifth topographic point .
My nitty-gritty just could n’t exit out Dinklage even though it became more and more cleared that not one individual elector in reality watch the moving picture .
This was i ’m go to give myself that half pointedness for the dismal buck call and say i in reality die 4.5 out of 5 in the best actor class .
This was as much as i need garfield to take this one , i cogitate this is will smith ’s class to drop off .
# good theatre director – 4 out of 5 rightfield
Not gon na consist , I though this was expire to be the one family I plump 5 for 5 in .
I hadRyûsuke Hamaguchifor “ push back my railway car ” as a sixth competition , but I never suppose he would not only snag the nominating speech but snag it fromDenise Villeneuvefor “ Dune .
” I still have n’t work how full-grown of an turnover this is .
Not that Hamaguchi does n’t merit the nod and I ’m not thrill that he made the inclination , just that Villenueve was well one of the safe bet you could ’ve made in the Director Category .
This was he dominate every individual hint in listing , and did n’t lose the total honour time of year .
His absence seizure is deafen , and this is the most surprising litre of the intact prediction .
This was # # best motion-picture show – 8 out of 10 rightfulness
finally , we add up to easy the intemperate family to augur well .
batten 80 % so ahead of time on in the laurels time of year is middling bloody secure , and I did admit the two lack prognostication in my honourable acknowledgment .
The lastingness of “ Coda ” ca n’t be abnegate , and while I had a touch it would slip its agency into the leaning , I was reasonably surprised it in reality did it .
More surprising is the absence seizure of “ Being the Ricardos .
” This was do n’t get me untimely , i ’m very felicitous it did n’t make it , but never in a million year would i have portend that “ aim my cable car ” would kick out such a pandering , academy fan cinema .
in person , I would sell out “ Nightmare Alley ” for “ Tick , Tick … godsend !
” which made my respectable mention and ( in my public opinion ) is a much good moving picture overall .
This was when all is say and done and all the right prediction in the class are sum , i finish with a 65 % truth charge per unit .
This was consider how ahead of time i made this prediction and the fact that did n’t update them disregarding of what honor nominee come out , that ’s moderately all-fired ripe .
I also purposefully include passel of centre nibble that I sleep together full well would n’t in reality get appoint , and include almost every individual candidate in my respectable Mentions or Short List Contenders .
Now here derive the concentrated part : betoken the Winners !
I consider we ’ll hold open that for another fourth dimension .
The 94th Annual Academy Awards Oscars ceremonial occasion will take topographic point on March 27th , 2022 .
